Sandown Races including the Tingle Creek. The Tingle Creek at Sandown in a Grade 1 2m Chase and has been won by some superstars in the past including Moscow Flyer and Kauto Star. There were inspection required due to the weather, but currently Sandown past the first 07:30am inspection and is now pending a 09:30am inspection. The matching horses of the stats & trends are below.
1:15 Henri The Second 4/1
1:50 L’Eau du Sud 5/2
2:25 Spirit d’aunou 10/1
3:00 Jonbon 1/2
3:35 Unanswered Prayers 12/1
Saturday 30th November stats & trends matching horses
Newbury and Newcastle Races including the Coral Gold Cup Handicap chase which was previously know as the Hennesy from Newbury. There is also the Fighting Fith hurdle at Newcastle where we side with Mystical Power based on the age trend, 4 year olds do not have a great record in this race (not a big sample have run mind). In the Coral Gold Cup Iron Bridge matched the trends and is priced at 20/1
1:54 Anyharminasking 9/1
2:10 Mystical Power 11/8
2:25 Ballee 18/1
3:00 Iron Bridge 20/1
3:20 Neon Moon 8/1, Jet Plane 12/1
3:35 Imperial Saint 3/1
Friday 13th September
1:50 Subsequent (Andrew Balding) 2/1, Dream Harder (Ian Williams) 12/1
2:25 Benevento (Raphael E Friere) 12/1, God of War (Tom Clover) 14/1
3:00 Magnum Force (G M Lyons) 11/4
3:35 Point Lonsdale (A P O’Brien) 5/1
4:10 Beatrice Shilling (Peter Chappell-Hyam) 13/2
Thursday 12th September
1:50 Dear Cat 8/1
2:25 Moving Force 22/1, Intrusively 9/2
3:00 Anshoda 10/1, Serving With Style 50/1
3:35 Scenic 7/1, Nakheel 11/1
1:30 Walter Hartright (Ed Dunlop) 9/4
1:50 Sir Les Patterson (Harry Eustace) 20/1
2:05 Clarendon House (Rob Cowell) 6/1, Albasheer (Archie Watson) 13/2
2:25 Bright Thunder (K R Burke) 16/1, Spiritual (John Golden) 12/1
3:00 Dambuster (Andrew Balding) 12/1
3:35 Field of Gold (John Gosden) 6/4
Only one horse matched all the trends for this years renewal of the grand national, trained by Willie Mullins and carry a very low weight, this seven year old looks sure to go well. Meetingofthewaters beat Panda Boy by 4 1/2 lengths in a previous run this season and Panda Boy has been well fancied for the National in the last couple of weeks. Everything looks perfect for Meetingofthewaters, being a 7 year old its still unexposed and this will have been the aim all year for JP Mcmanus and Willie Mulllins.
Other races on Saturday 13th April – horses that meet the trends
1:20 Cuthbert Dibble 8/1
1:55 Espirit Du Potier 20/1
2:30 Klieg King 11/1
3:05 Flooring Porter 4/1, Buddy One 18/1
4:00 Meetingofthewaters 14/1
5:00 Found a Fifty 7/4
20/20 – Carried 11st 9lbs or less
18/20 – Carried 11st 5lbs or less
18/20 – Officially rated 137 or higher
17/20 – Had won over at least 3m previously
17/20 – Ran less than 50 days ago
15/20 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
12/20 – Winners from the top 8 in the betting
12/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/20 – Won by horses aged in double-figures
9/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
8/20 – Experienced the National fences before
7/20 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
6/20 – Won their last race
5/20– Won by a horse aged 10 years-old
5/20 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/20 – Won by the Gordon Elliott yard
2/20 – Won by the McCain yard
2/20 – Won by the Lucinda Russell yard
9/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/10 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/10 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
9/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
8/10 – Carried 10-12 in weight
8/10 – Won 2+ times over hurdles
7/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Rated between 131-138
7/10 – Placed favs (top 4)
7/10 – Had never raced at Aintree (hurdles)
5/10 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Finished in the top 4 at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
2/10 – Trained and ridden by Dan and Harry Skelton
2/10 – Trained by David Pipe (Pipe’s 5 wins overall)
19/20 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
17/20 – Raced 39 days or less ago
17/20 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
16/20 – Placed in the top three last time out
15/20 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the market (11 of last 13)
12/20 – Raced in the Supreme (4), Ballymore (7) or County Hurdle (1) last time out
9/20 – Favourites to win (2 joint) (8 of the last 12 favs have won)
9/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/20 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 6)
2/20 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard (inc two of last 12 runnings)
Ballymore (Baring Bingham) Hurdle winners (Cheltenham Festival) are 4-from-4 since 1999
20 of the last 26 winners came from the top 2 in the betting
13 of the last 14 winners were placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
19 of the last 25 (76%) winners were either fav or 2nd fav
11 of the last 17 (65%) winners had won at least 3 times hurdles
15 of the last 24 (63%) winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
16 of the last 26 (62%) winners finished 6th or better at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Willie Mullins, Tizzard, Paul Nicholls or Nicky Henderson have won 10 of the last 19 (56%) runnings between them
8 of the last 13 runnings went to a 5 year-old
Only 1 winning 4 year-old in the last 27 years
Only 2 winning 7 year-olds in the last 34 years
Respect horses rated 150+ (5-from-9 since 2011)
Front runners in the race have a bad recent record
2023 Winner: Irish Point (5/1)
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Davy Russell
17/20 – Had run within the last 35 days
16/20 – Didn’t win last time out
15/20 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
14/20 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
12/20 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
12/20 – Priced 15/2 or bigger in the market
12/20 – Unplaced in their last race
4/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Favourites that won
3/20 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard (3 of the last 13)
2/20 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
1/20 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 of the last 24 winners were aged 10+
Only 5 winners carried more than 11st in the last 19 years
Just 1 Irish-trained winner in the last 46 runnings
9 of the last 13 (69%) winners were rated between 131 and 140
10 of the last 16 winners didn’t win earlier that season
8 of the last 11 winners had won over 3m before
Only 2 of the last 17 winners won last time out
2023 Winner: Midnight River (15/2)
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Harry Skelton
16/19 – Ran within the last 30 days
15/19 – Priced 11/2 or less in the market
15/19 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
13/19 – Won or finished 2nd at this meeting previously
13/19 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
12/19 – Won by a horse aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/19 – Placed 4th or better in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham)
9/19 – Won their last race
9/19 – Favourites to win (6 odds-on)
6/19 – Raced in that season’s Cleeve Hurdle
4/19 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
4/19 – Irish-trained winners
2/19 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (last two)
2/19 – Trained by Alan King
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
16 of the last 19 (84%) winners raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
18 of the last 19 (95%) winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
15 of the last 19 (79%) had run at this meeting before
14 of the last 19 (74%) were favourite or second favourite
8 of the last 14 winners won a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
7 of the last 14 winners won the Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) before winning this and 6 from last 8 (since becoming a G1 race)
Previous winners of the race are currently 6-from-6
Horses rated 170+ are currently 6-from-8
Just 3 of the last 19 winners aged 9+(Sire Du Berlais, 11)
Just 2 winners rated below 155 in the last 19 runnings
No 5 year-old winners
2023 Winner: Sire Du Berlais (16/1)
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Mark Walsh
Aintree Grand National Facts and Stats
