Only one horse matched all the trends for this years renewal of the grand national, trained by Willie Mullins and carry a very low weight, this seven year old looks sure to go well. Meetingofthewaters beat Panda Boy by 4 1/2 lengths in a previous run this season and Panda Boy has been well fancied for the National in the last couple of weeks. Everything looks perfect for Meetingofthewaters, being a 7 year old its still unexposed and this will have been the aim all year for JP Mcmanus and Willie Mulllins.
Other races on Saturday 13th April - horses that meet the trends
1:20 Cuthbert Dibble 8/1
1:55 Espirit Du Potier 20/1
2:30 Klieg King 11/1
3:05 Flooring Porter 4/1, Buddy One 18/1
4:00 Meetingofthewaters 14/1
5:00 Found a Fifty 7/4
20/20 – Carried 11st 9lbs or less
18/20 – Carried 11st 5lbs or less
18/20 – Officially rated 137 or higher
17/20 – Had won over at least 3m previously
17/20 – Ran less than 50 days ago
15/20 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
12/20 – Winners from the top 8 in the betting
12/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/20 – Won by horses aged in double-figures
9/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
8/20 – Experienced the National fences before
7/20 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
6/20 – Won their last race
5/20– Won by a horse aged 10 years-old
5/20 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/20 – Won by the Gordon Elliott yard
2/20 – Won by the McCain yard
2/20 - Won by the Lucinda Russell yard
9/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/10 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/10 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
9/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
8/10 – Carried 10-12 in weight
8/10 – Won 2+ times over hurdles
7/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Rated between 131-138
7/10 – Placed favs (top 4)
7/10 – Had never raced at Aintree (hurdles)
5/10 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Finished in the top 4 at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
2/10 – Trained and ridden by Dan and Harry Skelton
2/10 – Trained by David Pipe (Pipe’s 5 wins overall)
19/20 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
17/20 – Raced 39 days or less ago
17/20 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
16/20 – Placed in the top three last time out
15/20 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the market (11 of last 13)
12/20 – Raced in the Supreme (4), Ballymore (7) or County Hurdle (1) last time out
9/20 – Favourites to win (2 joint) (8 of the last 12 favs have won)
9/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/20 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 6)
2/20 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard (inc two of last 12 runnings)
Ballymore (Baring Bingham) Hurdle winners (Cheltenham Festival) are 4-from-4 since 1999
20 of the last 26 winners came from the top 2 in the betting
13 of the last 14 winners were placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
19 of the last 25 (76%) winners were either fav or 2nd fav
11 of the last 17 (65%) winners had won at least 3 times hurdles
15 of the last 24 (63%) winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
16 of the last 26 (62%) winners finished 6th or better at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Willie Mullins, Tizzard, Paul Nicholls or Nicky Henderson have won 10 of the last 19 (56%) runnings between them
8 of the last 13 runnings went to a 5 year-old
Only 1 winning 4 year-old in the last 27 years
Only 2 winning 7 year-olds in the last 34 years
Respect horses rated 150+ (5-from-9 since 2011)
Front runners in the race have a bad recent record
2023 Winner: Irish Point (5/1)
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Davy Russell
17/20 – Had run within the last 35 days
16/20 – Didn’t win last time out
15/20 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
14/20 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
12/20 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
12/20 – Priced 15/2 or bigger in the market
12/20 – Unplaced in their last race
4/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Favourites that won
3/20 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard (3 of the last 13)
2/20 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
1/20 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 of the last 24 winners were aged 10+
Only 5 winners carried more than 11st in the last 19 years
Just 1 Irish-trained winner in the last 46 runnings
9 of the last 13 (69%) winners were rated between 131 and 140
10 of the last 16 winners didn’t win earlier that season
8 of the last 11 winners had won over 3m before
Only 2 of the last 17 winners won last time out
2023 Winner: Midnight River (15/2)
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Harry Skelton
16/19 – Ran within the last 30 days
15/19 – Priced 11/2 or less in the market
15/19 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
13/19 – Won or finished 2nd at this meeting previously
13/19 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
12/19 – Won by a horse aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/19 – Placed 4th or better in that season’s Stayers' Hurdle (Cheltenham)
9/19 – Won their last race
9/19 – Favourites to win (6 odds-on)
6/19 – Raced in that season’s Cleeve Hurdle
4/19 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
4/19 – Irish-trained winners
2/19 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (last two)
2/19 – Trained by Alan King
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
16 of the last 19 (84%) winners raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
18 of the last 19 (95%) winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
15 of the last 19 (79%) had run at this meeting before
14 of the last 19 (74%) were favourite or second favourite
8 of the last 14 winners won a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
7 of the last 14 winners won the Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) before winning this and 6 from last 8 (since becoming a G1 race)
Previous winners of the race are currently 6-from-6
Horses rated 170+ are currently 6-from-8
Just 3 of the last 19 winners aged 9+(Sire Du Berlais, 11)
Just 2 winners rated below 155 in the last 19 runnings
No 5 year-old winners
2023 Winner: Sire Du Berlais (16/1)
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Mark Walsh
Aintree Grand National Facts and Stats