Sunday 7th May - Trends and Tips

Sunday is the fillies turn in the 1000 Guineas run over 1 mile at Newmarket HQ on the Rowley Mile. Two 50/1 shots match the previous winners profiles in the 1000 Guineas 3:40.

1:15 Francesco Clemente 11/2

1:50 Duke of Verona 18/1, Torcello 14/1

2:25 Trust the Stars 7/1, Sumo Sam 6/1

3:00 Prosperous Voyage 7/2

3:40 Matilda Picotte 50/1, Powerdress 50/1

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 Howden Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

1 previous runnings
Cemhaan (100/30 fav) won the race in 2022
Trainer Shaun Lycett has a 50% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track (2-from-4)
Trainer William Jarvis has a 31% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 1 from 40 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

2.25 Howden Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

11/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
9/12 – Won just once before
8/12 – Had between 1-3 runs before
7/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of last 9)
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (all for John Gosden)
2/12 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
2/12 - Ridden by Jim Crowley
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

3.00 – Howden Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

17/18 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
17/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
17/18 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
15/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Won this on first run of the season
10/18 – Had run at the course before
9/18 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
7/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Ridden by William Buick
2/18 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 9)
12 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 100/30

3.40 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

19/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/21 – Had won between 2-3 times before
16/21 – Had won a Group race before
15/21 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
14/21 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
13/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Won their previous race
12/21 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price
10/21 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
10/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/21 – Favourites unplaced
9/21 – Irish-trained winners
8/21 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/21 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
6/21 – Previous Group One winners
4/21 – Won by a US bred horse
4/21 – Won by the favourite
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – French-trained winners
3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
11 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12.5/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)