Horse Racing Tips

Sunday 4th February Horse Racing - Trends and Tips


Its day 2 of the Dublin Racing Festival plus Musselburgh horse racing today, the feature race is the Irish Champion Hurdle which is a group one 2 mile race. Smartbettingstats have analysed 10 races and matched the best horses to the profiles of previous winners. 


1:10 Gaelic Warrior 4/7

1:20 Liari 5/4

1:40 Gold Dancer 33/1

1:50 Dreams of Hope 5/1

2:10 Gentlemen De Mee 9/1

2:20 Recoup 3/1

2:45 Bob Olinger 12/1

3:00 Dare To Shout 50/1, Noble Birth 11/1

3:20 Fire Attack 80/1, Chavez 20/1

3:35 Tommys Oscar 15/2

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Racing TV)

1:10 Leopardstown Ladbrokes Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/10 – Ridden by Paul Townend
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 18% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emmet Mullins is 0-from-20 with his hurdlers at the track

1:40 Leopardstown Tattersalls Ireland 50th Derby Sale Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

9/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
4/10 – Ridden by Danny Mullins (2) or Paul Townend (2)
4/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 18% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Thomas Mullins is 0-from-33 with his hurdlers at the track

2:10 Leopardstown Ladbrokes Dublin Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m1f ITV

6/6 – Trained by Willie Mullins
5/6 – Winning favourites
4/6 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/6 – Ridden by Paul Townend (3 of the last 4)
2/6 – Ridden by Danny Mullins
Gentleman De Mee won this race in 2023
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 19% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is just 7-from-99 with his chasers at the track

2:45 Leopardstown Chanelle Pharma Irish Champion Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 2m ITV

19/20 – Placed in the top three last time
17/20 – Raced within the last 2 months
17/20 – Had won at Leopardstown before
17/20 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Rated 158 or higher
16/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
16/20 – Won last time out
14/19 – Went onto finish in the top six of that season’s Champion Hurdle
15/20 – Winning favourites
12/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/20 – Raced at Leopardstown last time out
11/20 – Irish bred
7/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (7 of last 13 runnings)
5/20 - Trained by Henry De Bromhead (4 of the last 7 runnings)
5/19 – Went onto win the Champion Hurdle
3 of the last 15 winners were second season hurdlers
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 2/1

3:20 Leopardstown O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) 2m5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 - Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of the last 7)
The Goffer won the race in 2023
Birchdale won the race in 2022
Trainer Enda Bolger is 2 from 8 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is just 7-from-99 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Joseph O’Brien is just 3-from-42 with his chasers at the track

Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ Racing TV)

1:20 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Triumph Hurdle (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo) 1m7½f ITV

8/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 7)
3/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 8)
2/9 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 4)
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 36% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 5-from-97 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

1:50 Musselburgh Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-125) 2m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over fences at the track

2:25 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Supreme Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m7½f ITV

8/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Aged 5
2/8 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/8 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/8 – Winning favourite
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a 29% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer John C McConnell has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Paddy Brennan has a 29% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

3:00 Musselburgh Pertemps Network Group Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-145) 3m ITV

7/8 – Aged 7 or younger
6/8 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/8 – Carried 10-7 or less
4/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/8 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
Trainer David Killahena & Graeme McPherson have a 67% strike-rate with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ann Hamilton has a 50% strike-rate with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer John C McConnell has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 5-from-97 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Paddy Brennan has a 29% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

3:35 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Champion Chase (For The Bowes-Lyon Trophy) Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4½f ITV

No past runnings
Trainer Ann Hamilton has a 40% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 67% record riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over fences at the track