Horse Racing Tips
Smartbettingsstats - Saturday 8th October Horse Racing Tips and Trends
1:50 Band of Steel @28/1, Galatic Jack @9/1, Tenerife Sunshine @25/1
2:05 Royal Encore @15/2
2:25 Silver Knott @3/1
2:40 Saga @13/2
3:00 Chaldean @3/1
3:15 Volatile Analyst @20/1
3:40 Call My Bluff @16/1, Gibrltar @11/1, Much Magic @100/1
Today racing on ITV has seven races live from Newmarket and York races, which includes the second leg of the Autumn double The Cesarewitch Handicap run over 2m 2f. The days racings also includes the big 2 year old race the Dewhurst, two Juddmonte horses head the betting in that one and Chaldean trained by Andrew Balding is another Frankel runner. Frankel was the fastest sire to 50 group one winners and will be champion sire again this year. The four top priced yearlings at Tattersalls October sale were sired by Frankel and he had 6/10 top priced sellers. Three horses meet the trends in the Cesarewitch and one of those is trained by Willie Mullins who has won 3 out of the last 4 runnings of the race.
Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.50 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV
15/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
14/15 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Won no more than twice before
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
10/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by the Hannon yard
3/15 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 7
2.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV
16/17 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
15/17 – Had raced at least twice before
14/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 – Won between 1-2 times before
12/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Godolphin winners
3/17 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (3 of the last 5)
3/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/17 – Ridden by William Buick (4 of the last 7)
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 5 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race.
Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury
3.00 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV
20/20 – Raced at least 3 times that season
18/20 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
18/20 – Placed in their last race
15/20 – Won over 7f previously
15/20 – Favourites placed
14/20 – Won at least 3 times previously
14/20 – Won their last race
14/20 – Won a Group race previously
13/20 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
13/20 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/20 – Won by an Irish-based stable
10/20 – Favourites that won
8/20 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
6/20 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/20 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
6/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 wins in total)
6/20 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (3 won both)
5/20 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/20 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
3/20 – Godolphin-owned winners (3 of the last 10)
2/20 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
1/20 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 11 of the last 16 runnings
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained 5 of the last 9 winners
3.40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV
19/20 – Aged 4 or older
16/20 – Carried 9-2 or less
15/20 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
15/20 – Had run within the last 2 months
14/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/20 – Finished 4th or better last time out
14/20 – Aged 5 or older
12/20 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/20 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
11/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/20 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
11/20 – Had run at the track before
11/20 – Won by a NH trainer
9/20 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/20 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/20 – Winning mares
4/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Winners from stall 1
3/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 4 winners)
3/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/20 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/20 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 21/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993
York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
2.05 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV
19/19– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/19 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
16/19 – Had 4 or more runs that season
15/19 – Foaled in March or later
14/19 – Had never raced at York before
13/19 – Had won over 6f before
13/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Unplaced last time out
8/19 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Filly winners
4/19 – Winners from stall 2
3/19 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/19 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/19 – Ridden by David Allan
The horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 12 runnings
2.40 – Coral ‘Beaten-By-A-Length’ Free Bet Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV
Just 9 previous runnings
8/9 – Rated between 95-103
8/9 - Returned 10/1 or shorter
8/9 – Won over at least 1m2f before
7/9 - Aged 3 years-old
6/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/9 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/9 – Unplaced last time out
4/9 – Had run at the track before
4/9 – Ridden by Franny Norton (2) or Adam Kirby (2)
4/9 – Irish bred
2/9 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 6 winners came from stall 8
3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV
19/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
19/19 – Had won at least 3 races before
18/19 – Had run at York before
18/19 – Had won a race over 6f before
17/19 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
14/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/19 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
10/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Rated between 92 and 98
10/19 – Carried 9-2 or less
8/19 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/19 – Won last time out
3/19 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 6)
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/19 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 5 winners)
2/19 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/19 – Filly or mare winners
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 13 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Gulliver (16/1) won the race in 2019 and 2020
Major Jumbo (12/1) won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017
