Horse Racing Tips
Saturday 9th December - Horse Racing Trends & Tips
Todays horse racing includes the Fighting Fith Hurdle which has been moved to Sandown after the abandonment at Newcastle last week, there is also the Tingle Creek which is a key 2 mile chase on the national hunt calendar. Jonbon run in the Tingle Creek and the would be superstar Goshen runs in the Fighting Fifth, no one can forget what happened to Goshen in the Triumph Hurdle way back a couple of seasons ago at Cheltenham. Todays trends and tips are posted below.
Goshen Triumph Hurdle - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9OafqNgfAcs&t=102s
1:15 You Wear it Well 2/1
1:30 Cheltenham 10/3
1:50 La Patron 18/1
2:05 Ashtown Lad 11/2, Percussian 13/2, Dorking Cork 16/1
2:25 Impose Toi 10/3, Jilaijone 12/1, Jupiter Du Gite 50/1
2:40 Latin Verse 20/1
3:00 Edwardstone 9/2
3:15 Vicki Vale 7/1
3:35 Certainly Red 5/1, Truckers Lodge 6/1
Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.15 – Betfair Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4
22/22 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
19/22 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
19/22 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
18/22 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
18/22 – Placed favourites
17/22 – Officially rated 151 or higher
14/22 – Won their last race
12/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/22 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/22 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
7/22 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (7 of last 15)
6/22 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/22 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/22 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/22 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 9)
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 11/2
1.50 – Betfair Close Brothers Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4
19/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/19 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
18/19 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
17/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – French (12) or Irish (4) bred
16/19 – Won last time out
13/19 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (3 winners)
12/19 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (6) last time out
12/19 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
12/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/19 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
6/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Trained by Alan King
Jonbon (2/11 fav) won the race in 2022
2.25 – Rachael Blackmore Serial Winners Fund Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4
18/19 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
17/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/19 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
15/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
11/19 – Rated between 116-128
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
11/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
12 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
3.00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4
20/21 – Aged 9 or younger
19/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/21 – Had won a Grade One chase before
17/21 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
16/21 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
16/21 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
15/21 – Placed favourites
15/21 – French bred
15/21 – Officially rated 165 or higher
14/21 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
13/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/21 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
12/21 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
12/21 – Won last time out
11/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 wins in total)
6/21 - Won by a past winner
6/21 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre – Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
1/20 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 3/1
3.35 – Betfair Exchange London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4
16/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Aged 7 or older
16/17 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
15/17 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
14/17 – Rated 126 or higher
14/17 – Aged 8 or older
13/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/17 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
5/17 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/17 – Trained by Tom George
1/17 – Winning favourites
Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.30 – Boylesports Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4
9/9 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/9 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
7/9 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/9 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
6/9 – Ran at Ayr (2), Kempton (2) or Bangor (2) last time out
6/9 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
6/9 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
5/9 – Rated between 133 and 135 (inc)
5/9 – Had run at Aintree before
5/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1
2.05 – Boylesports Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4
19/21 – Aged 8+
17/21 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
17/21 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/21 – Had no more than 1 start that season
16/21 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
16/21 – Carried 10-12 or less
14/21 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
15/21 – Aged 9 or older
13/21 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/21 – Irish-bred winners
11/21 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/21 – Placed favourites
8/21 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/21 – Irish-trained winners
3/21 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/21 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/21 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 11.5/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Ashdown Lad (5/1) won the race in 2022
2.40 – Boylesports Daily Money Back 2nd Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m1f ITV4
9/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Won over 2m+ before
8/9 – Favourites finished in top 3
7/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Won last time out
7/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/9 – French bred
5/9 – Winning favourite
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Nicky Henderson
2/9 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 9 running is 7/4
Note: This race has been staged at Doncaster in the past
3.15 – Boylesports Extra Place Daily Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4
10/12 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/12 - Aged 7 or younger
9/12 - Won between 1-2 times before
9/12 - Aged between 5-6 years-old
8/12 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/12 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/12 - Won over at least 2m4f before
6/12 - Had run at Aintree before
4/12 - Ran at Aintree (2) or Kempton (2) last time out
4/12 - Winning favourites
4/12 - Won last time out
2/12 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 - Trained by Dan Skelton
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
