Saturday 3rd February - Horse Racing Trends and Tips

1:25 Classic Anthem 15/2

2:00 Harpers Brook 4/1

2:15 Temptationinmilan 14/1

2:35 La Patron 9/2

2:50 Your Honr 10/1

3:10 Hermino AA 22/1, Tanganyika 25/1

3:35 I Am Maxmus 28/1

3:45 Gronzi 11/2

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.25 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m4f ITV3

8/8 – Carried 11st or more
8/8 – Won between 0-1 times before
8/8 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
8/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Carried 11st 4lbs or more
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Placed favourites
7/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Irish bred
2/8 – Had run at the track before
2/8 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/1

2.00 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y ITV3

17/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/17 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
14/17 – Aged 9 or younger
13/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/17 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (4 won)
9/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/17 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
7/17 – Raced at Sandown last time out
7/17 – French bred
6/17 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
5/17 – Aged 7 years-old
4/17 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of last 5)
3/17 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (3 of last 5)
3/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/17 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Trained by Kerry Lee (2 of the last 7)
2/17 – Ridden by Jamie Moore (2 of the last 7)
The last 10 winners carried 10-12 or more
8 of the last 10 winners carried 11-2 or more
Dolos won the race in 2019, 2020, 2022 and second in 2021

2.35 – Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV3

20/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
19/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
19/20 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
18/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/20 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
18/20 – Aged 7 or younger
17/20 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
16/20 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2 winners, Defi Du Seuil, JLT Novices’ Chase, L’Homme Presse, Brown Advisory)
15/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
13/20 – French bred
12/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Aged 7 years-old
7/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/20 – Irish bred
6/20 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the Brown Advisory Chase (1 winner, L’Homme Presse)
5/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/20– Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/20 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (4 of last 9 winners)
Gerri Colombe (10/11) won the race in 2023

3.10 Virgin Bet Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m7 1/2f ITV3

8/8 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 - Didn’t win last time out
7/8 - Won between 2-4 times
7/8 - Returned between 5/1 and 10/1 in the betting
7/8 - Aged 8 or younger
6/8 - Irish bred
6/8 - Carried 10-10 or less in weight
5/8 - Unplaced favourites
6/8 - Rated between 129-134
4/8 - Ran at Kempton last time out
1/8 - Winning favourites
Trainer Venetia Williams has won the last two runnings

3.45 – Virgin Bet Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV3

18/20 – Carried 11-6 or less
18/20 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
17/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/20 – Aged 9 or younger
15/20 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
15/20 – Rated 139 or lower
12/20 – Irish-bred
11/20 – Placed last time out
11/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/20 – Had raced at Sandown before (5 won)
10/20 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/20 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/20 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – French-bred
3/20 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/20 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 10)
2/20 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 10)
Trained by Philip Hobbs (2 of the last 4)
Castle Robin won the race in 2023

Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV) 

2.40 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/16 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
11/16 – Aged 7 years-old
11/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
10/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase at Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6^th or better)
2/16 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV) 

1:40 – bet365 Frodon Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (5yo+) 2m 4 1/2f ITV3

Only 3 previous runnings
Trainer L J Morgan has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
All three winners returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
All three winners aged between 6-8 years-old
Trainer Charlie Longsdon has a 40% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Lucinda Russell has a 19% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% riding over fences at the track

2.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y ITV3

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged between 8-9 years-old
5/6 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
4/6 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/6 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
1/6 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Magna Sam won the race in 2023

2.50 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y ITV3

15/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
12/16 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/16 – Aged 6 years-old
11/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/16 – Former flat horses
9/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
8/16 – Rated between 120-130
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6)
2/16 - Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 5)
4 of the last 7 winners were ridding by a claiming jockey
Collingham (11/2) won the race in 2023