Horse Racing Tips

Saturday 3rd December Horse Racing Tips and Trends - Sandown & Aintree


1:30 Ahoy Señor @6/4

1:45 Jonbon @1/3

2:05 Five Star Getaway @8/1, Percussion @9/1

2:20 Bashful Boy @66/1, In The Air @11/1

2:40 Knight in Dubai @5/1

2:55 Greaneteen @7/4

3:15 Whizz Kid @14/1

3:30 Gwencily Berbas @14/1


Saturdays ITV TV racing is from Aintree and Sandown the big race of the day is the Group one Tingle Creek at Sandown. Shiskin makes his seasonal reappearance but the trends match up last years winner of the race Greaneteen @7/4. The racing from Aintree see's a race over the Grand National fences and experience over those fences normally proves valuable, two horses meet the trends in that race Five Star Getaway @8/1 and Percussion @9/1, both horses actually ran in the Grand National last season. Jon Bon is also out racing again today and is 1/3 in the 1:45 he was the clear pick for the trends. We have gone through all the eight national hunt horse races today and posted the horses that meet all the trends for each race above.


Ted (Senior Analyst) - Smartbettingstats.com

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.45 – Close Brothers Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

18/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/18 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
17/18 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
16/18 – Aged 6 or younger
15/18 – French (11) or Irish (4) bred
15/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (6) last time out
12/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (3 winners)
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
11/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/18 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
3/18 – Trained by Alan King

 

2.20 – Betfair Daily Rewards Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

17/18 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/18 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
14/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
13/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
11/18 – Rated between 116-128
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
11 of the last 12 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
Mack The Man (6/1) won this race in 2019

 

2.55– Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

18/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
19/20 – Aged 9 or younger
17/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
17/20 – Had won a Grade One chase before
16/20 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
15/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
15/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – French bred
15/20 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
15/20 – Officially rated 165 or higher
14/20 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/20 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
12/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
11/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 wins in total)
6/20 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
1/20 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 11/4

 

3.30 – Winners Wear Cavani Menswear Exchange London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

15/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Aged 7 or older
15/16 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
14/16 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
13/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Rated 126 or higher
13/16 – Aged 8 or older
11/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
9/16 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/16 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/16 – Trained by Tom George
1/16 – Winning favourites

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.30 – Boylesports Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4 

10/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over at least 3m (chase)
9/10 – Placed favourites (top 3)
9/10 – Ran at Aintree, Wetherby or Cheltenham last time out
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Had run at Aintree in the past
6/10 – Winning favourites
6/10 – Irish Bred
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/10 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Brian Ellison
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
 

2.05 – Boylesports Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

16/20 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
16/20 – Carried 10-12 or less
16/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
16/20 – Had no more than 1 start that season
15/20 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/20 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
14/20 – Aged 9 or older
12/20 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/20 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
11/20 – Irish-bred winners
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Irish-trained winners
3/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/20 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/20 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Snow Leopardess (4/1) won the race in 2021

 

2.40 – Boylesports Daily Money Back 2nd Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV4

8/8 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/8 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
6/8 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
6/8 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
6/8 – Ran at Ayr (2), Kempton (2) or Bangor (2) last time out
5/8 – Rated between 133 and 135 (inc)
5/8 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
5/8 – Had run at Aintree before
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/8 – Trained by N W Alexander (last 2 runnings)
Clan Legend has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

 

3.15 – Boylesports Extra Place Daily Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/11 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 - Aged 7 or younger
9/11 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 - Won between 1-2 times before
9/11 - Aged between 5-6 years-old
8/11 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/11 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 - Won over at least 2m4f before
6/11 - Had run at Aintree before
4/11 - Ran at Aintree (2) or Kempton (2) last time out
4/11 - Winning favourites
4/11 - Won last time out
2/11 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 - Trained by Dan Skelton
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2