1:30 Cobblers Dream @7/2

2:05 Broomfield Burg @9/2, Galore Desassences @20/1

2:40 Frero Banbou @5/1

3:15 Major Dundee @5/1, Up The Straight @18/1, Poppa Poutine @12/1

3:35 Eldorado Allen @9/2

Todays racing is at Ascot and Wetherby, see's the National Hunt season really kick in to gear and begin. The main race of the day is at Wetherby with the Charlie Hall Chase run over 3m 1f group 2 chase. Some of the big chasing names take the field, we have gone with Eldorado Allen as the two favs don't meet the most trends, this horse also has a really good reappearance record to back up the trends which is a nice addition. The 2:40 at Ascot is a interesting race with Amoola Gold going for a hat trick in the race, well kind of as the horse was disqualified for band substances last year, so although the horse is weighted better we can't see it winning if there were some underhand goings on at play, Amoola Gold is also too old according to the trends and doesn't meet the most trends. We go with Frero Banbou who has the optimum profile for the race and was 3rd (4th) last year, the main concern is the Venetia Williams stable form and if the ground was saturated we would be a lot more confident. The first race of the day at Ascot is a brilliant one to watch with the exciting start Goshen running, Gary Moore has a good recent record in the race but Goshen doesn't hit the most trends and we go with Cobblers Dream but we are really excited to see how Goshen takes to fences. Our guess is he will either be really amazing or really hopeless, he doesn't do in-between normally.

1.30 – Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

• Key Trends
• 9 previous runnings
• 9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
• 8/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
• 7/9 – Irish bred
• 7/9 – Yet to win over fences
• 5/9 – Aged 6 year-old
• 3/9 – Had run at Ascot before
• 3/9 – Winning favourites
• 2/9 – Trained by Gary Moore (2 of the last 5)
• 2/9 – Ridden by Jamie Moore (2 of the last 5)

2.05 – Bateaux London Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

• Key Trends
• 18/18 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
• 18/18 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
• 15/18 – Never raced at Ascot before
• 15/18 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
• 11/18 – Having their first run of the season
• 10/18 – Unplaced last time out
• 10/18 – Placed favourites
• 8/18 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
• 8/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
• 6/18 – Won by a French bred horse
• 6/18 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
• 4/18 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
• 3/18 – Won by trainer Alan King, including two of last 5 renewals
• 2/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
• 2/18 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
• 2/18 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
• 7 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 years-old

2.40 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

• Key Trends
• 16/19 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
• 13/19 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
• 13/19 – Irish (5) or French (8) bred
• 13/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
• 11/19 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
• 10/19 – Having their first run of the new season
• 8/19 – Rated 130 or lower
• 8/19 – Unplaced favourites
• 6/19 – Won last time out
• 5/19 – Aged 8 years-old
• 4/19 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
• 4/19 – Won carrying 11-12
• 4/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
• 3/19 – Winning favourites
• 3/19 – Trained by Venetia Williams
• 5 of the last 6 winners were aged 7
• Monsieur Lecoq (11/1) won the race in 2021
• Amoola Gold (9/2) won the race in 2020
• Diego Du Charmil (13/2) won the race in 2019

3.15 – Bateaux London Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

• 17/17 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
• 14/17 – Didn’t win last time out
• 13/17 – Had run at Ascot before (6 won)
• 11/17 – Carried 10-10 or more
• 11/17 – Aged 8 or older
• 10/17 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
• 10/17 – Having their first run of the season
• 10/17 – Unplaced favourites
• 10/17 – Unplaced in their last race
• 9/17 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
• 6/17 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
• 6/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
• 4/17 – Winning favourites
• 3/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
• 3/17 – Trained by Gary Moore (3 of the last 6)
• 2/17 – Ran at Sandown last time out
• 2/17 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
• Regal Encore won the race in 2020
• 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 9 or younger

3:35 CHARLIE HALL CHASE BETTING TRENDS

18/20 – Rated 151 or higher
16/20 – Were having their first run of the season
17/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
14/20 – Aged 8 or older
13/20 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
12/20 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/20 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
11/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
8/20  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
2/20 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 wins in total)
2/20 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/20 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 13/2
The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (18 runs ago)