Horse Racing Stats & Trends Tips - Saturday 27th April 2024

Today trends matching profile horses for ITV horse racing from Sandown and Haydock. The trainers championship is set to be decided at Sandown with Willie Mullins once again targeting his horses in the UK. 

1:50 Panjari (Paul Nicholls) 16/1

2:25 Straw Fan Jack (Sheila Lewis) 33/1

2:45 Rainbow Fire (Marco Botti) 6/1

3:00 Jonbon (Nicky Henderson) 2/1

3:35 Slipaway (Ben Pauling) 25/1

4:45 Kotmask (Gary Moore) 14/1

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged between 4-6 years old
5/5 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Carried 11st 5lbs or more in weight
3/5 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/5 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/5 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Jockey Sean Bowen has a 29% return riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 22% return riding over hurdles at the track
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Harry Fry has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling is just 1 from 34 (3%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 4 from 52 (8%) with his hurdlers at the track

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV

9/9 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 - Trained by Hobbs (4), Henderson (1) or Nicholls (3)
7/9 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
7/9 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
6/9 – Winning favourites
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/9 – Ran at Aintree last time out
2/9 – Ridden by Bryony Frost
Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
Hewick (6/5 fav) won the race in 2023

3.00 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

20/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/20 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
18/20 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
17/20 – Aged 9 or younger
17/20 – Placed favourites
16/20 – Came from the top three in the betting
16/20 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
15/20 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
14/20 – Rated 160 or higher
11/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/20 – Winning favourite
8/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Irish bred
6/20 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 7 times in all)
6/20 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc 5 of last 7)
5/20 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/20 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (4 of the last 7)
3/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/20 – Irish-trained winners
Jonbon (8/13 fav) won the race last year
Greaneteen won the race in 2021 & 2022

3.35 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

19/20 – Had raced in the last 63 days
18/20 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
16/20 – Had won over 3m or further before
16/20 – Aged 9 or younger
15/20 – Carried 11-0 or less
14/20  - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/20 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
12/20 – Had raced in the last 25 days
11/20 – Finished 4^th or worse last time out
5/20 – Won with 10st in weight
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20– Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
3/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/20 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/20– Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/20 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
2/20 - Trained by Alan King (2 of last 4 winners)
1/20 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 13/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

Just 1 outright winning favourite since 1990 (Kitty's Light, 2023)
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
11 of the last 16 winners aged 7 or 8
25 of the last 32 (78%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 7 of the last 20 runnings (35%)
16 of the last 20 (80%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times
3 of the last 8 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys

4.45 – bet365 Josh Gifford Novices’ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f RTV

9/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/9 – Returned 15/ or shorter
8/9 – Had won over 2m4f+ before (fences)
7/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Won between 0-2 times over fences before
7/9 – Aged 6 or 7
7/9 – Had run at Sandown before
7/9 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
6/9 – Top 3 finish last time out
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Winning distance a neck
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/2

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.45 – Trustatrader Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

9/10 – Won over 7f in the past
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/10 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
4/10 – Rated between 95-100 (inc)
3/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
2/10 – Trained by John Quinn
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
Rainbow Fire won the race in 2023
Boardman won the race in 2022

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

Only one past running
Al Mubhir won the race in 2023
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2023
Trainer William Haggas is 2-from-4 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Stone has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams is just 2-from-25 with his 4+ year-olds at the track