Horse Racing Tips
Horse Racing tips and trends - Saturday 24th February
Todays matching race horses to previous winners trends are below. The horse racing is from Kempton, Newcastle and Southwell (all weather), its is the winter derby at Southwell and the trends matching horse is Tyrrhenian Sea priced at 11/2. There are seven races that have been looked at by our analysts.
1:50 Captain Marvellous 11/2
2:08 Major Dundee 11/1
2:27 Tahmuras 9/2
2:45 Clarendon House 5/4
3:00 Idy Wood 11/1
3:20 Tyrrhenian Sea 11/2
3:37 Tweed Skirt 11/1, Blackjack Magic 4/1
Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)
1.50 – Coral Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4
17/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 - Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
14/18 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
13/18 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
13/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/18– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
10/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – French bred
5/18 – Irish bred
5/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/18 – Trained by Alan King (won two of last 5 runnings)
4/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/18 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park
2.27 – Coral Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4
16/18 – French or Irish bred
14/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/18 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/18 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
12/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (won 8 of the last 13)
11/18 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Winning favourites
Harry Cobden has ridden the last three winners
Sam Twiston-Davies has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners
4 of the last 6 winners owned by Johnny de la Hey
3.00 – Coral Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4
16/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
14/17 – Returned a single-figure price in the betting
14/17 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
11/17 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/17 – French bred
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Alan King
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park
3.37 – Coral Trophy Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4
18/21 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
18/21 – Aged 9 or younger
17/21 – Rated 139 or higher
15/21 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
15/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
13/21 – Won a Class 2 chase or better before
13/21 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/21 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/21 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
12/21 – Rated between 139 and 150
11/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/21 – Carried 11-5 or more
9/21 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
8/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Aged 8 years-old
6/21 – French bred
5/21 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/21 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
3/21 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
3/21 – Trained by Tom George
3/21 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/21 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/21 – Trained by Neil Mulholland (won 2 of the last 7)
2/21 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (won 2 of the last 8)
2/21 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard (won it 4 times in all)
2/21 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park
Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)
2.08 – Betting.bet Eider Handicap Chase Cl2 4m1f ITV4
19/19 – Had won over at least 3m before
17/19 – Aged 10 or younger
16/19 – Carried 10-13 or more
16/19 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
13/19 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
13/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/19 – Officially rated between 131-140
12/19 – Irish-bred
12/19 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
11/19 – Placed favourites
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/19 – Carried 11-12 in weight
4/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 9/1
Southwell Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)
2.45 – BetUK Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4
12/16 – Rated 96+
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
10/16 – Placed favs
8/16 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Mare winners
4/16 – US bred
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
Kinngrace won the race in 2023
One Night Stand won the race in 2022
Note: Previous runnings were staged at Lingfield
3.20 – BetUK Winter Derby Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
17/21 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
17/21 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
17/21 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
15/21 – Had raced at either Lingfield (11) or Kempton (4) last time out
15/21 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
15/21 – Came from the top 3 in the market
13/21 – Winning distance – less than a length
13/21 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/21 – Placed in their last race
11/21 – Won their last race
10/21– Won at least 6 times previously
9/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 5 runnings)
2/21 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 11)
2/21 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 9)
Just 2 of the last 17 Winter Derby Trial winners have gone onto win the Winter Derby
The average winning SP in the 20 renewals is 5/1
Lord North won the race in 2023
Note: Previous runnings were staged at Lingfield
