Scottish Grand National - Tips and Trends

Todays stats and trends tips include the Scottish grand national at Ayr Racecourse run over 4 miles. Only one horse in each race matches the trends today making it easier for any each way multiple bets. There is also flat racing from Newbury.

1:15 Hansankey 8/1

1:30 Mojo Star 3/1

1:50 Sail Away 6/1

2:05 Magical Sunset 9/2

2:25 Salsada 10/1

2:40 Charyn 20/1

3:00 Thunder Rock 4/1

3:15 Jimi Hendrix 9/1

3:35 Manofthepeople 12/1

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.30 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
18/19 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
19/19 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before
16/19 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
16/19 – Having their first run of the season
15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/19 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
12/19 – Had raced at Newbury before
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/19 – Had won a Group race before
6/19 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 8)
Max Vega (11/2) won the race last year
7 of the last 10 winners drawn in stalls 4 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2.05 – Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

17/19 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
16/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
16/19 – Having their first run of the season
15/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Drawn 5 or higher
14/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/19 – Had won over 7f before
9/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Had won at Newbury before
7/19 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
5/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
4/19 – Trained by the Channon yard
2/19 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/19 – Trained by the Hannon stable
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

2.40 – Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
17/19 – Having their first run of the season
16/19 – Won at Listed class or better before
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Won between 2-4 times before
13/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/19 – Had won a Group race before
10/19 – Won last time out
9/19 – Had won over 7f before
9/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Had won a race at Newbury before
8/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/19 – Irish-trained
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
2/19 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
8 of the last 9 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

3.15 – Betgoodwin Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

19/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
19/19 – Won no more than 4 times before (flat)
18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/19 – Won between 2-4 times before (flat)
15/19 – Won over at least 1m before
14/19 – Rated between 85-98
13/19 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
13/19 – Unplaced last time out
11/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
11/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
9/19 – Had run at Newbury before
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 7)
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 8)
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 3)
1/19 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2

Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.15 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

18/18 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
16/18 – Aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
15/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Rated between 127-139
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
12/18 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/18 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/18 – French bred
11/18 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
10/18 – Had run at Ayr before
4/18 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 5 years)
2/18 – Won last time out
Return Ticket (11/1) won the race in 2022
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

1.50 – CPMS Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV 

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger
11/11 – No more than 3 chase wins
10/11 – French (3) or Irish (7) bred
9/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/11 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
7/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Had run at the track before
3/11 – Winning favourites
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

2.25 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

19/19 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
16/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
16/19 – Aged 7 or younger
15/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
15/19 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
14/19 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Rated 137 or higher
11/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/19 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
10/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Irish bred
6/19 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/19 – Irish-trained winners
Anna Bunina (6/1) won the race in 2022
4 of the last 9 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

19/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/19 – Aged 8 or younger
18/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
18/19 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
9/19 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
9/19 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
7/19 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
6/19 – Raced at Aintree last time out
6/19 – Had raced at Ayr before
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

19/19 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
17/19 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
17/19 – Aged 8 or older
15/19 – French or Irish bred
15/19 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
14/19 – Finished in the first three last time out
14/19 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
13/19 – Carried 10-9 or less
13/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/19 – Had won over 3m or further
13/19 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
12/19 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
7/19 – Won (fences) at Ayr before
7/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
3/19 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/19 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 6 winners and 3 wins in total)
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 3 times
2 of the last 10 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 19/1