Saturday 19th November Horse racing tips and trends

The big race of the day is the Betfair chase and all the trends point to Eldorado Allen and he's no mug he ran Bravesmangame close in the Charlie Hall chase at Wetherby a couple of weeks ago, the price looks a good each way bet. The main event of the day is the season return of Constitution Hill the super star of National Hunt racing, we hope he wins but the trends point to another star Goshen, everyone remembers when he fell at the last in the Triumph Hurdle what a best he was that day. Another of the potential super stars is running also tomorrow L'Homme Presse we backed him for the Gold Cup at 66/1 for the Royal Sun Alliance chase at the Cheltenham Festival last year. A brilliant days racing on show, we can't wait to watch Constitution Hill run and hope he wins!

1:50 Hitman @8/15

2:05 L'Homme Presse @4/6

2:40 Goshen @10/1

3:00 Eldorado Allen @16/1

3:15 Before Midnight @12/1, Frero Banbou @7/1

3:35 Musical Slave @9/1, Fontaine Collonges @5/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – Chanelle Pharma 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

17/19 – Aged 8 or younger
16/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
14/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/19 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
13/19 – Favourites placed
13/19 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/19 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/19 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
11/19 – Ran at Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
10/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/19 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
9/19 -  Won last time out
8/19 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/19 – Aged 5 years-old
3/19 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/19 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/19 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/19 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

20/20 – Priced 7/2 or less
18/20 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
17/20 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
16/20 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (4) bred horse
15/20 – Favourites placed
13/20 – Won their latest race
13/20 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
12/20 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
12/20 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
11/20 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
11/20 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
7/20 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
6/20 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 winner)
5/20 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4^th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
4/20 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/20 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/20 - Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 4)
2/20 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 16 winners were Irish-trained
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

3.15 – Jim Barry Wines Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

15/16 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
15/16 – Had won over fences over 2m (or further) before
14/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Rated 142 or higher
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/16 – Had raced at Ascot before
9/16 – Ran at either Ascot (4) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
8/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
6/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Aged 6 years-old
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
Before Midnight won the race in 2021

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Get Daily Rewards With Betfair Graduation Chase Cl2 (4 yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV 

11/11 – 0-2 wins over fences
10/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/11 – Rated between 144-149
8/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/11 – 0-2 runs over fences before
6/11 – Won last time out
6/11 - Winning favourites
3/11 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
3/11 – Ridden by Harry Cobden

2.25 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

15/17– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
15/17 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
14/17 – Carried 10-9 or more
13/17 – Rated between 132 and 143
12/17 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
11/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – French bred
6/17 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/17 – Trained by David Pipe
3/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/17 – Trained by Nick Williams
Main Fact won the race in 2020

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

17 Previous runnings
15/17 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
14/17 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (10) bred horse
14/17 - Won a Grade One chase previously
13/17 - Placed in the top three in their last race
13/17 - Raced at Haydock previously
12/17 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
12/17 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/17 – Favourites placed
9/17 – Aged 8 or older
9/17 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
8/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
8/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/17 – Won their latest race
4/17 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
Just 1 Irish-trained winner yet
9 of the last 10 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020  
The Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

3.35 - My Odds Boost On Betfair Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m 1 1/2f ITV 

11/11 - Aged 9 or younger
10/11 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
10/11 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 - Won between 1-3 times over fences
9/11 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/11 - Irish (7) or French (2) bred
8/11 - Won a race over at least 3m before
8/11 - Had run at Haydock before
8/11 - Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 - Carried 11-6 or more in weight
7/11 - Rated between 135 and 145 (inc)
7/11 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/11 - Placed favourites
5/11 - Won last time out
3/11 - Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)