Horse Racing Tips
Saturday 18th February - Horse racing tips and trends
Horse Racing Trends
The matching horse racing tips will be posted the morning of the horse racing
ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (SkySportsRacing/ITV)
1.50 - Bateaux London Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV
20/20 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
17/20 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
17/20 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
16/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/20 – Won last time out
13/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase (2 winners)
10/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase
9/20 – Placed favourites
7/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/20 - Won by the Pipe Stable (2 of the last 8)
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/20 – Trained by Rebecca Curtis (2 of last 9)
2/20 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 4)
2.25 – LK Bennett Swinley Handicap Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m 80y ITV
12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged 8 or older
10/12 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/12 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
7/12 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/12 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/12 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
7/12 – Aged in double-figures
6/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
4/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/12 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Winning Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or more
Fortescue won the race in 2022
Regal Encore won the race in 2018, was third in 2019, second in 2021 & 4th in 2022
3.00 – Ascot Racecourse Supports Box4Kids Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (GBB Race) (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV
15/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Carried 10-12 or less
11/17 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 or less
10/17 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
10/17 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/17 – Priced 8/1 or bigger
8/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
4/17 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
3/17 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/17 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
2/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Good Risk At All (6/4 fav) won the race in 2022
3.35 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV
20/20 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
19/20– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
18/20 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
17/20 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
16/20 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
16/20 – Officially rated 157 or higher
15/20 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
14/20 – Favourites placed
13/20 – Winning favourites
12/20 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/20 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
8/20 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
8/20 – Won their last race
7/20 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/20 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
6/20 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (2 winners, Cue Card & Riverside Theatre) later that year
3/20 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/20 – Trained by Alan King
2/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
11 of the last 16 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
Fakir D’oudairies (won this race in 2022)
HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)
2.05 – Betfred Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV
18/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/20 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
13/20 – Rated 145 or higher
13/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
12/20 – Aged 8 or younger
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/20 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
9/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (no winners)
9/20– Had run at Haydock before
6/20 – French-bred
6/20 – Placed favourites
4/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/20 – Winning favourites
1/20 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park
2.40 – Betfred Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV
20/20 – UK-based trained winners
19/20 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
18/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
16/20 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
16/20 – Rated 135 or higher
15/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
15/20 – Aged 10 or younger
14/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
13/20 – Aged 9 or younger
12/20 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/20 – Carried 11-0 or less
10/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
7/20 – Irish-bred winners
5/20 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/20 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/20 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Venetia Williams
5 of the last 8 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 11/1
Bristol De Mai (11/2) won this race in 2022
WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RACINGTV/ITV)
3.42- Wincanton Matchbook Jennings Bet Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV
19/19 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
18/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
17/19 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
17/19 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/19 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
13/19 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/19 – Rated 155 or higher
9/19 – Winning favourites
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19– Raced at Sandown last time out
4/19 – Trained by Alan King
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/19 – Winners that went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
Goshen (10/3) won this race in 2021 and 2022
