Horse racing trends and tips - Saturday 15th July

Smartbettingstats have analysed six races for todays horse racing based on the trends of previous winners. The horse racing is from York racecourse and Ascot racecourse. The tips are below with the odds of the horse.

1:45 Vintage Clarets 15/2

2:00 Aramaic 9/2

2:20 Jimi Hendrix 11/2

2:35 Chipstead 8/1

3:10 White Wolf 14/1

3:45 Scriptwriter 25/1, Teumessias Fox 10/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

1.45 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV 

8/9 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
8/9 – Carried 8-10 or more
8/9 – Had won over 5f before
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Had won between 2-6 times
7/9 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
6/9 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
5/9 – Came from a double-figure stall
4/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/9 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/9 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1
Mountain Peak (11/1) won this race in 2022

2.20 – Fred Cowley MBE Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV 

15/15 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
13/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had raced at Ascot before (3 won)
11/15 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
10/15 – Previous Group race winner
9/15 – Winning favourites (last 9 favs have won)
8/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/15 – Aged 4 years-old
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/15 – Had won a Group 1 before
11 of the last 13 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/4
Chindit (85/40) won the race in 2022

York Horse Racing Trends

2.00 - John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV 

11/11 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
11/11 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 - Won over at least 1m before
10/11 - Won between 2-4 times before
9/11 - Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
9/11 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/11 - Finished 4^th or better last time out
8/11 - Drawn in stall 7 or lower
8/11 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 - Irish bred
6/11 - Placed favourites
6/11 - Had run at the track before
3/11 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/11 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runs is 15/2
Eilean Dubh (4/1) won the race in 2022s

2.35 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

12/12 – Won over 5f before
11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Rated between 101 and 111
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Won at York before
7/12 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/12 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/12 – Won by a neck or less
4/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Mondammej was second in the race last year

3.10 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

19/21 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
14/21 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
14/21 – Came from stall 9 or higher
14/21 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Carried 9-3 or less
12/21 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
12/21 – Aged 4 years-old
12/21 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/21 – Had run at York before
6/21 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/21 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
3/21 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/21 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 4)
2/21 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 10)
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
7 of the last 9 winners carried 9st 3lbs or more
10 of the last 12 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12/1

3.45 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

16/17 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
16/17 – Won from stall 10 or lower
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
12/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Aged 4 years-old
8/17 – Had run at York before
7/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/17 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
5/17 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1