Horse Racing Tips
Punchestown Festival - Horse Racing Tips and Trends
This week sees the Irish version of the Cheltenham Festival from Punchestown. Lots of the stars will be running and smartbettingstats will be posting Punchestown Festival Tips throughout the week.
Day 5 Saturday 29th April
2:35 Western Sea 100/1
3:10 Everglow 18/1, My Design 13/2
3:50 Love Envoi 13/8
4:25 Champagne Gold 20/1
5:00 Lossiemouth 4/7
5:30 Heia 15/2, Horantzau D'airy 11/1
6:05 Rainbow Trail 11/2
Day 4 Friday 28th April
3:40 Royal Juniper 16/1
4:15 Macs Charm 16/1
5:25 Colonel Mustard 66/1
6:00 Impaire Et Passe 3/10
6:35 Annamix 15/2
7:10 Monbeg Park 7/4
7:45 Littlefoot 18/1, Walkawayharry 8/1
Day 2 Wednesday 26th April
3:40 Sam Magee 10/1
4:15 Rocco Bay 33/1
4:45 Imagine 9/4
5:20 Franciscan Rock 40/1
5:55 Bravemansgame 4/1
6:30 Tullyhill 5/2
7:05 Hereditary Rule 22/1, The Little Yank 20/1
7:45 Fun Fun Fun 15/8
Day 1 Tuesday 25th April
3:40 Night and Day 3/1
4:15 Facile Vega 4/6
4:50 Tax For Max 17/2
5:25 Energumene 4/11
6:00 Milo Lises 9/1, Predators Gold 7/2, Tactical Affair 15/2, Western Fold 20/1
6:35 Journey With Me 9/4
7:10 Subset 50/1
7:45 Ninth Loch 3/1
DAY ONE – Tuesday 25th April 2023
4.15 – KPMG Champion Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m 1/2f
9 of the last 17 runnings went to the favourite
10 of the last 16 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
14 of the last 17 recent winners were priced 8/1 or shorter
9 of the last 17 returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
No British-trained winner for 23 years (18 runners)
Supreme Novice Hurdle winners have only followed-up 4 times
15 of the last 16 were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins won the prize in 2009, 2010, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019 & 2021
Trainer Noel Meade has won the race in 2002, 2005, 2006 & 2008
Trainer Edward O’Grady has won the race in 2003, 2007 & 2011
17 of the last 22 winners came 1st or 2nd last time out
5.25 – william hill Champion Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) Winner €86,800 2m
8 of the last 19 runnings went to the favourite
18 of the last 23 winners came from the first three in the betting
French breds have won 10 of the last 15 runnings
16 of the last 20 returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11 of the last 20 had previous won at the track
All of the last 20 winners had won before over 2m
15 of the last 20 came 1st or 2nd last time out
14 of the last 20 were Irish-trained winners
14 of the last 20 were aged 9 or younger
5 of the last 17 finished unplaced that season’s Champion Chase at Cheltenham
14 of the last 19 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
7 of the last 19 winners ran in that season’s Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2008 & 2009
Willie Mullins won the race in 2010, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022
Enegumene won the race in 2022
Chacun Pour Soi won the race in 2021
DAY TWO – Wednesday 26th April 2023
5.55 – LADBROKES Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f
Recent Punchestown Gold Cup Winners
2022 – ALLAHO (6/5 fav)
2021 – CLAN DES OBEAUX (10/3)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – KEMBOY (13/8 fav)
2018 – BELLSHILL (4/1)
2017 – SIZING JOHN (9/10)
2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (12/1)
2015 – DON COSSACK (5/2)
2014 – BOSTON BOB (5/2 fav)
2013 – SIR DES CHAMPS (2/1 fav)
2012 – CHINA ROCK (20/1)
2011 – FOLLOW THE PLAN (20/1)
2010 – PLANET OF SOUND (14/1)
2009 – NOTRE PERE (15/8 fav)
2008 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (9/10 fav)
2007 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (8/1)
2006 – WAR OF ATTRITION (4/5 fav)
2005 – KICKING KING (8/11 fav)
2004 – BEEF OF SALMON (5/4 fav)
2003 – FIRST GOLD (7/4 fav)
Punchestown Gold Cup Betting Trends
16/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/19 – Aged 8 or younger
14/19 – Irish-trained winners
13/19 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
10/19 – Had run in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
10/19 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Ran in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out
9/19 – Won last time out
5/19 - Trained by Willie Mullins (5 of the last 9)
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 5/1
9 of the last 17 favourites have won
10 of the last 14 Irish-trained favourites have won
Since 1999 only 2 Irish-trained winners hadn’t won at the course before
9 of the last 23 winners had run in that season’s John Durkan Memorial Chase
6.30 – ITM – Race & Stay at Punchestown Champion I.N.H Flat Race (Grade 1) (4-7yo) 2m
4 winning favourites in the last 17 years (1 joint)
16 of the last 18 were aged 5 or older
The Cheltenham Champion Bumper has produced 15 winners since 1992
16 of the last 30 winners finished 6th or better in the Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Cheltenham)
29 of the last 30 winners had raced 2 or more times before
Not many mares have run in the race, but 5 have won it since 1994
Trainer Noel Meade won the race in 2004, 2006, 2007
Trainer Willie Mullins won the race in 2008, 2011, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2021 & 2022
The Irish have won 16 of the last 18 runnings
DAY THREE – Thursday 27th April 2023
4.50 – Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase (5yo+) 4m1f
6 winning favourites in the last 16 years (3 join/co)
Trainer Enda Bolger has won 13 of the last 23 runnings
10 of the last 16 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 16 carried 12-2 or more
13 of the last 16 winners were aged 9 or older
6 of the last 16 winners ran in the race 12 months ago
20 of the last 27 winners returned 7/1 or shorter
10 of the last 16 winners ran in the Cheltenham Festival Cross Country race
Singing Banjo won this race in 2021 and 2nd in 2022
5.25 - Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 3m
Past Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle Winners
2022 – KLASSICAL DREAM (11/10 fav)
2021 – KLASSICAL DREAM (5/1)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (16/1)
2018 – FAUGHEEN (11/2)
2017 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (4/1)
2016 – ONE TRACK MIND (10/1)
2015 – JEZKI (5/2)
2014 – JETSON (20/1)
2013 – QUEVEGA (6/4 fav)
2012 – QUEVEGA (11/10 fav)
2011 – QUEVEGA (8/11 fav)
2010 – QUEVEGA (5/2 fav)
2009 – FIVEFORTHREE (5/4 fav)
2008 – BLAZING BAILEY (10/3 fav)
2007 – REFINEMENT (16/1)
2006 – ASAIN MAZE (8/13 fav)
2005 – CARLYS QUEST (25/1)
2004 – RHINESTONE COWBOY (5/2)
2003 – HOLY ORDERS (6/1)
Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle Betting Trends
15/19 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival earlier that season
13/19 – Placed in the top three last time out
14/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Aged 8 or younger
12/19 – Irish trained winners
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites
9/19 – Trained by Willie Mullins
7/19 – Ran in the Aintree Hurdle last time out
5/19 – Ran in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
Only one Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) winner in the last 22 runnings
15 of the last 19 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The market leader has won 10 of the last 21 runnings
11 of the last 20 winners won their previous race
11 of the 25 runnings have been won by a British-trained horse
8 of the last 18 winners ran at Aintree’s Grand National Meeting last time out
12 of the last 19 winners had won a Grade One over 3m+ before
6.35 - Barberstown Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m
8 winning favourites in the last 11 runnings
15 of the last 16 winners returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13 of the last 16 winners were aged 7 or older (only 5 of the last 25 aged 6 or younger)
11 of the last 16 were aged either 7 or 8 years-old
24 of the last 26 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
9 of the last 16 winners ran in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) that same season
UK-based trainers have won 4 of the last 13 times they have had runners
15 of the last 18 winners had run at least 4 times over fences previously
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2009, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022
DAY FOUR – Friday 28th April 2023
5.25 – PADDY POWER CHAMPION HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m
10 of the last 17 favourites (2 joint) have won
9 of the last 15 winners won last time out
14 of the last 15 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
15 of the last 17 winners were aged 6 or older
14 of the last 23 winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
The current Champion Hurdler is yet to finish out of the top two when running
14 of the last 17 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016 & 2017
8 of the last 11 winners returned odds-on in the betting
15 of the last 17 winners were Irish-trained
6.00 – ALANNA CHAMPION NOVICE HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m4f
11 of the last 17 favourites have won
11 of the last 17 winners were aged 5 years-old
15 of the last 17 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins has won 11 of the last 20 runnings
15 of the last 21 winners won last time out
Since 1996 all-bar-two of the winners were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Owner J Donnelly has won the last 2 runnings
DAY FIVE – Saturday 30th April 2023
4.25 – BALLYMORE FOUR YEAR-OLD HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m
7 winning favourites in the last 17 runnings
15 of the last 17 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2006, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018 & 2022
13 of the last 16 winners ran in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham)
7 of the last 14 winners ran in that season’s Spring Juvenile Hurdle
10 of the last 24 runnings went to a British-trained horse
Owner Rich Ricci has won 3 of the last 5 runnings
