Saturday 26th November Trends and Tips - Newbury and Newcastle

1:20 Killer Kane @6/1

1:35 Lord Roco @5/2 

1:55 Lord Baddesley @7/2

2:10 Tommy Oscar @22/1

2:30 First Street @7/2

2:45 Sergeant Wilson @9/5

3:05 Threeunderfive @10/1, Le Milos @9/2

3:40 Courtland @14/1

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.20 - Sir Peter O´Sullevan Memorial Handicap Chase Cl3 2m6f93y ITV3

16/16 – Aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
13/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/16 – Aged 7 or younger
10/16 – Officially rated between 126-131
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
9/16 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
9/16 – Raced at Wincanton (4), Cheltenham (3) or Bangor (2) last time out
8/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – Had raced at Newbury over fences before
7/16 – French bred
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Winning favourites
Kapcorse (12/1) won this race in 2018 and 2021
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

1.55 – Coral Racing Club Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV3 

6 previous runnings
All of the last 6 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
4 of the last 6 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
4 of the last 6 winners carried 11st 3lbs or more in weight
3 of the last 6 winners were aged 6 years-old
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Dan Skelton, Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past
2 winning favourites (joint) in the last 5 years

2.30 - Coral Bet Bundles Intermediate Handicap (Listed Race) (A Limited Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV3

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
14/16 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
13/16 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
12/16 – Irish, French or German bred
11/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/16 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Had raced at Newbury before
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old
7/16 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/16 – Won last time out
9 of the last 15 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

3.05 – Coral Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y ITV3

18/20 – Aged 8 or younger
18/20 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
18/20 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
16/20 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
13/20 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/20 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
13/20 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
13/20 – Had a previous run that season
13/20 – Rated between 140 and 151
12/20 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
12/20 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/20 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
10/20 – Won last time out
10/20 – Ran at either Aintree (3) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 10)
2/20 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/20 – Trained by the Tizzard yar (2 of the last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10/1
11 of the last 17 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (31 runnings) there have been 14 winners (45%) aged 7 years-old

3.40 – Coral Get Closer To The Action Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV3

18/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
12/20 – Officially rated between 126-136
12/20 – French bred
12/20 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
10/20 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
10/20 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
10/20 – Placed in their last race
10/20 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/20 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/20 – Trained by Venetia Williams
11 of the last 16 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.35 - Betfair Daily Rewards Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 2m7 1/2f ITV3

11/11 - Aged between 5-7 years-old
10/11 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 - Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/11 - Carried 10st 8lbs or more
8/11 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 - Placed favourites
6/11 - Winning favourites
6/11 - Irish bred
5/11 - Had run at the track before
3/11 - Trained by Sue Smith
2/11 - Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.10 – BetFair Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

21/21 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
18/21 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
18/21 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
18/21 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
18/21 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
17/21 – Placed favourites
16/21 – Officially rated 151 or higher
13/21 – Won their last race
13/21 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
12/21 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/21 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/21 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
6/21 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/21 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (6 of last 14)
4/21 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/21 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 8)
2/21 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 11/2

3.25 – BetFair Exchange Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV3

17/18 – Didn’t win their last race
16/18 – Irish bred
15/18 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
14/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
13/18 – Unplaced last time out
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/18 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/18 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Aged 8 years-old
4/18 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/18 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 8 or older
Aye Right (5/1) won the race in 2021
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow