Horse Racing Tips

Saturday 2nd December - Horse Racing Trends and Tips



1:40 Cobblers Dream 18/1

2:15 Hansard 5/1

2:50 Twig 12/1

3:25 Xcitations 9/1


Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.40 – Coral Racing Club Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

7 previous runnings
All of the last 7 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
5 of the last 7 winners carried 11st 3lbs or more in weight
4 of the last 7 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
3 of the last 7 winners were aged 6 years-old
2 of the last 7 winners trained by Paul Nicholls
2 of the last 7 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Dan Skelton and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past too
2 winning favourites (joint) in the last 7 years
3 of the last 4 winners aged 7 years-old

2.15 - Coral Bet Bundles Intermediate Handicap (Listed Race) (A Limited Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
15/17 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
13/17 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
12/17 – Irish, French or German bred
12/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/17 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had raced at Newbury before
8/17 – Aged 5 years-old
7/17 – Officially rated between 126-134
7/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 16 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

2.50 – Coral Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y ITV

19/21 – Aged 8 or younger
19/21 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
19/21 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
17/21 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
14/21 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/21 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
14/21 – Had a previous run that season
14/21 – Rated between 140 and 151
13/21 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
13/21 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
13/21 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
12/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Won last time out
10/21 – Ran at either Aintree (3) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 11)
2/21 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 7)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1
12 of the last 18 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (32 runnings) there have been 15 winners (47%) aged 7 years-old

 

3.25 – Coral Get Closer To The Action Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

19/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/21 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
12/21 – Officially rated between 126-136
12/21 – French bred
11/21 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
11/21 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
11/21 – Placed in their last race
11/21 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/21 – Unplaced favourites
9/21 – Winning favourites
6/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/21 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/21 – Trained by Venetia Williams
11 of the last 17 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.55 – BetMGM Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

22/22 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
19/22 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
19/22 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
18/22 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
18/22 – Placed favourites
17/22 – Officially rated 151 or higher
14/22 – Won their last race
12/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/22 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/22 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
7/22 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (7 of last 15)
6/22 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/22 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/22 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/22 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 9)
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 11/2

 

3.05 – BetMGM Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

18/19 – Didn’t win their last race
16/19 – Irish bred
16/19 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
14/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
14/19 – Unplaced last time out
12/19 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
11/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/19 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Aged 8 years-old
4/19 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/19 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
9 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or older
L'Homme Presse (9/4 fav) won the race in 2022
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow