Horse Racing Tips
Saturday 7th January Horse Racing Trends and Tips from Sandown and Wincanton
1:15 Peejaybee @10/3
1:30 Galahad Quest 5/1
1:50 Dream of Hope @10/1, Xcitations @14/1
2:05 Midnight Midge @5/1
2:25 Artic Bresil @5/1
3:00 Indy Five @50/1
3:35 Djelo 11/4, Dr T J Ekcleburg @9/1
Todays horse racing trends are from Sandown and Wincanton. Smartbettingstats have done the analysis to profile which horses running today match with previous winning profiles of the races. One of the feature more novel (if there is such a thing) horse races of the day is the Veterans race at Sandown, the one the matches the profiles of the Sandown trends is Indy Five @50/1, the Veterans Chase Trends highlight this horse so we are will to take a chance and back this one at 50/1 each way, it has shown decent form at Cheltenham recently so doesn't look to be a 50/1 shot really in a race that has seen four double price winners out of the last six races, which is pretty logical given when horses get older they are surely harder to predict what showing you will get. Its a bit like when you get older yourself especially after a few drinks its harder to have 7 good days a week. Another big horse race of the day at Sandown is the Unibet Tolworth Hurdle, the Tolworth Hurdle Trends match with Artic Bresil which is a Irish Henry De Bromhead trained horse, although Irish trainers have only won this once in recent years but don't have many runners and the hold the Irish have over National Hunt Racing at the moment gives us more confidence then the Irish trainer record in the race.
Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.15 – Read Nicky Henderson’s Unibet Blog Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f ITV
8/8 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Aged 8 or younger
5/8 – Carried 11-8 or more
3/8 – Aged 6 years-old
2/8 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
2/8 – Winning favourites
Trainer Venetia Williams won the race 12 months ago
1.50 – Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV
15/16 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
15/16 – Ran within the last 2 months
15/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
13/16 – From the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
12/16 – Officially rated 134 or higher
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
10/16 – Never raced at Sandown
9/16 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Winning Favourites
7/16 – Unplaced last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
4/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV
17/18 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
17/18 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
17/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
16/18 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
15/18 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
15/18 – Came from the top three in the market
14/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/18 – Won by an Irish bred horse
10/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
10/18 – Winning Favourites
6/18 – Ran at either Sandown (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/18 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/18 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4/18 – Ran at Sandown before
2/18 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
3/18 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Constitution Hill, 2022, Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/18 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 24 of the last 30 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 3/1
3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2021 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV
Just 7 previous runnings
Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams (2), Charlie Longsdon, David Pipe and Sandy Thomson are past winners
7/7 – Ran in last 5 weeks
6/7 – Unplaced last time out
6/7 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
5/7 – 4+ wins over fences
5/7 – Winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
4/7 – Officially rated between 135-145
2/7 – Winning favourite (joint)
Prime Venture won the race in 2022
3.35 – Unibet New and Improved Bet Builder Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV
15/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
14/17 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
14/17 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/17 – Unplaced last time out
11/17 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/17 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
8/17 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
7/17 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/17 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/17 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Irish bred
2/17 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/17 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 9 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.30 – Virgin Bet Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV
11/11 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
9/11 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
9/11 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
9/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
8/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/11 – French bred
2/11 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/11 – Trained by Tom George
2/11 - Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/11 – Winning favourite
1/11 – Won last time out
2.05 – Virgin Bet Fives Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 1m 7 1/2f ITV4
Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
3/3 - Aged 9 or younger
1/3 – Winning favourites
Trainer Jane Williams has a 27% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Jeremy Scott has a 21% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Rex Dingle has a 22% record riding chasers at the track
3.15 – Virgin Bet Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 5 1/2f ITV
5/5 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
4/5 - Returned 8/1 or shorter
4/5 - Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/5 - Won just once over hurdles before
3/5 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/5 - Unplaced favourites
3/5 - Had won over 2m4f (or further) over hurdles
2/5 - Winning favourites
2/5 - Had won a NH Flat race before
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
