Chester May Meeting - Horse Racing Tips and Trends

The Chester May meeting is a key meeting on the flat racing calendar, its normally used as key derby/oaks trail milestone for Epsom. The tight track can also meet the draw plays even more of a part especially in sprint races over 5f & 6f.

Friday May 12th

1:30 Heart of the Moment 28/1

2:05 Fantastic Fox 10/1

2:40 Point Lonsdale 11/10

3:15 Emiyn 10/1, Al Zaraqaan 100/1

3:45 Medieval Gold 4/1 

4:20 State Legend 50/1, Greystoke 10/1

Thursday May 11th - Trends and Tips

1:30 Night on Earth 7/1

2:05 Urban Sprawl 9/1

2:40 Stormbuster 20/1

3:15 Enemy 18/1

3:45 Jean Baptiste 11/1

Wednesday May 10th - Trends and Tips

1:30 John Steed 25/1, Ziggys Dream 4/1

2:05 Knebworth 14/1

2:40 Emersinde 33/1, There's the Door 11/1

3:15 Duke of Oxford 16/1

3:45 Frankness 10/1

Thursday Trends

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.30 – CAA Stellar Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

14/14 – Won from stall 7 or lower
14/14 – Had won over 5f before
13/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Came from stall 5 or lower
12/14 – Had won between 2-6 times before
11/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Finished in the top 7 last time out
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
9/14 – Had raced at Chester before
7/14 – Officially rated between 87-90
7/14 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
Jason Hart has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners
12 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 1-4

 2.05 – Deepbridge Capital Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

18/20 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
18/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had a previous run that season
15/20 – Came between stalls 2-7
12/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/20 – Finished third or better last time out
12/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Winning favourites (or joint)
5/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
6/20 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/20 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding

2.40 - Boodles Dee Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

19/20 – Had not run at Chester before
18/20 – Yet to win over this trip before
16/20 – Came from stall 3 or higher
16/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Favourites finished in the frame
12/20 – Failed to win another race after taking this (at the time of this race)
11/20 – Had a previous run that season
10/20 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
10/20 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby
9/20 – Won by the favourite
9/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (6 of the last 9)
6/20 – Won their previous race
1/20 – Winners from stall 1
Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 19 years
Jockey Ryan Moore has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners

3.15 - tote.co.uk Bet £5 Get £20 Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV4

18/20 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/20 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
14/20 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/20 – Had a previous run that season
11/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/20 – Won by the favourite
9/20 – Had run before at Chester
5/20 – Ran in the John Porter (Newbury) last time out
5/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
The last 6 winners came from stalls 5 or lower

3.45 – TMT Group Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m 2 1/2f ITV4

10/11 – Carried between 8-11 and 9-3 in weight
10/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Had won at the track before
9/11 – Drawn in stalls 5 or higher
9/11 – Won over at least 1m2f
9/11 – Rated 79-84 (inc)
8/11 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
8/11 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
8/11 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
8/11 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
8/11 – Unplaced favourites
8/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
7/11 – Won 4+ times in the past
5/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Winners from stall 8
1/11 – Winning favourites
0/11 – Winners from stall 1

Wednesday Trends

1:30 – Caa Stellar Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV4

• 20/20 – Had a recent run that season
• 19/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
• 16/20 – Had won over 5f before
• 15/20 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
• 14/20 – Favourites that finished 1^st or 2^nd
• 14/20 – Won last time out
• 11/20 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
• 11/20 – Came from stalls 1-3
• 7/20 – Winning favourites4/20 – Came from stall 1 (but just 1 in the last 15 years)
• 3/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston (3 of the last 8 years)
• 2/20 – Trained by David Evans
• The horse from stall 5 has won 5 of the last 15 runnings
• The last 7 winners came from stall 5 or lower

2.05 – Tote Guaranteed Placepot Every Day Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 5f ITV4

• 20/20 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
• 19/20 – Had won before over this trip
• 16/20 – Winners came from stalls 1-4
• 14/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
• 14/20 – Had run before that season
• 12/20 – Favourites that finished in the top three
• 7/20 – Returned a double-figure price
• 7/20 – Had won before at Chester
• 5/20 – Won their last race
• 5/20 – Winning favourites
• 2/20 – Trained by Tim Easterby
• 5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
• The last 14 winners returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting

Chester Horse Racing Trends: Cheshire Oaks Stats

2.40 – Weatherbys Digital Solutions Cheshire Oaks (For The Robert Sangster Memorial Cup) (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV4

• 17/20 – Had not won over this trip (or further) before
• 17/20 – Had a previous run that season
• 17/20 – Favourites that finished in the top three
• 14/20 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
• 12/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
• 11/20 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
• 9/20 – Won their last race
• 7/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
• 5/20 – Winners from stall 4
• 5/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
• 3/20 – Trained by John Gosden
• 2/20 – Winners that went onto win the Epsom Oaks
• None of the last 20 winners had run at Chester before

Chester Horse Racing Trends: Chester Vase Stats

3.15 – Boodles Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV4

• 19/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
• 17/20 – Finished third or better last time out
• 17/20 – Had a previous run that season
• 15/20 – Went onto finish 8^th or better in the Epsom Derby
• 14/20 – Favourites that finished 1^st or 2^nd in this race
• 10/20 – Didn’t win their previous race
• 10/20 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
• 10/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 of last 9 winners)
• 8/20 – Winning favourites
• 8/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 9 winners)
• 2/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
• Just one winner in the last 20 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2013 – Ruler Of The World)

Chester Horse Racing Trends: Camden Pale Handicap Stats

3.45 – Camden Pale Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 6f ITV4

10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/11 – Winners from stalls 4 or higher
8/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
7/11 – Had won over 6f before
6/11 – Rated between 78-80
6/11 – Had run at the track before
2/11 – Winning favourites
1/11 – Winners from stall 1