Cheltenham November Meeting Fri 11th Nov Trends and Tips

1:45 Captain Tom Cat @11/4, Monsieur Lecoq @18/1

2:20 Pull Again Green @3/1

2:55 Magic Dancer @10/3

3:30 Collectors Item @4/1, Getaway Drumlee @66/1

The Cheltenham November meeting is one of the great National Hunt racing weekends of the season. Three days from Cheltenham is what every racing fan wants to see, Friday, Saturday and Sunday. All days live on ITV racing. We will likely see some Cheltenham Festival horses in the making this weekend so could some future stars be on show. Smartbettingstats have done the work on the trends for four races on the first day Friday 11th November to see which horses meet the profiles of the previous winners of the same races. We will also be posting Saturday and Sundays trends and tips nearer the time, so please keep checking the site or Facebook, Twitter or Instagram. The social media links are top right of all pages on smartbettingstats.com.

Ted (senior analyst) - smartbettingstats 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

1:45 – Mucking Brilliant Paddy Power Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 2m ITV4

18/19 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/19 – Raced at Cheltenham before
16/19 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
16/19 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/19 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
11/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/19 – Unplaced in their previous race
10/19 – Favourites placed
10/19 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
9/19 - Having their first run of the season
8/19 – French-bred horse
4/19 – Favourites that won
4/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/19 – Won their most recent race
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/19 – Trained by Paul Henderson (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/19 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan (2 of the last 4)
0/19 – Irish-trained winners

2.20 – SSS Super Alloys Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV4

19/19 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
17/19 – Won between 0 and 1 times over fences previously
17/19 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
16/19 – Ran between 0 and 2 times over fences
16/19 -  Finished in the top three in their latest race
14/19 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
14/19 – Placed in the first two in their previous race
13/19 – Favourites placed
11/19 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old  (10 of last 14 runnings)
10/19 – Raced already that season
9/19 – Irish-bred horse
9/19 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
9/19 – Won their latest race
8/19 – French-bred horse
8/19 – Raced at either Aintree (2), Cheltenham (4) or Auteuil (2) last time out
8/19 – First run over fences
7/19 – Favourites that won
6/19 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
5/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable

2.55 - Glenfarclas Veterans’ Handicap Chase GBB Race) Cl2 2m4f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Kerry Lee has a 15% record with her chasers at the track
Jockey Richard Patrick has a 20% record riding over fences at the track

3.30 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

17/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
13/17 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
13/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
13/17 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
12/17 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
12/17 – Aged 5 years-old
11/17 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Won just once before (under rules)
6/17 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/17 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season