Horse Racing Tips
Boxing Day 26th December 2022 - Stats & Trends matching horses
12:10 Rare Edition @7/2
12:45 Miranda @4/1
1:20 Gelling Bello @11/4
1:35 Into Overdrive @9/2
1:55 Constitution Hill @1/7
2:30 L'Homme Presse @9/4
3:05 Panic Attack @7/1, Art Approval @18/1
3:40 Ivaldi @10/1
Todays bumper Boxing Day national hunt horse racing that is is on ITV racing is from Kempton and Wetherby. There are some quality fields and the big race of the day is the King George with top chase juvenile from last season L'Homme Presee running, we have look at the King George Chase Trends and L'Homme Presse is the matching horse in that race. We have horse racing trends for all the races today and have taken a look at the analysis to match the horses with profiles to previous winners that are running today. The national hunt racing superstar runs today Constitution Hill which is a real treat for anyone going to Kempton he's 1/7 but its more about getting to see him in the flesh, its no surprise he matches the trends in the group 1 Christmas Hurdle.
One stat which caught out eye was that the winner of 12:45 Long Walk has normally gone on to run in the Stayers Hurdle at Cheltenham Festival (19/20 runners), so if you are backing Goshen today in that race it might be worth taking the 33/1 for the Stayers Hurdle, the Paul Nicholls trained Miranda was the match in that race for the trends.
Kempton Horse Racing Trends and Tips
12:10 – Play Ladbrokes ‘We Play Together’ Novices' Hurdle Race 2m RTV
15/15 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
14/15 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Favourites placed in the top 3
12/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
11/15 – Had won a NH Flat race before
9/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won just once over hurdles before
6/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (4 of the last 8)
Broomfield Burg (1/3 fav) won the race in 2021
12:45 – Ladbrokes Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV
19/20 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
19/20 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) (6 won, 4 runners-up)
17/20 – Placed in the top three in their last race
16/20 – Favourites placed
16/20 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
15/20 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
15/20 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
12/20 – French-bred horse
12/20 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/20 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/20 – Won their last race
10/20 – Favourites that won
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/20 - Trained by Emma Lavelle
2/20 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
Champ (4/1) won the race in 2021
Paisley Park won the race in 2018 and 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2
Note: This race is normally run at Ascot (meant to be staged 17th Dec) but was called off and rescheduled for Kempton
Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004 running -Windsor
1.20 – Ladbrokes Kauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV
18/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/19 – Placed in the top two last time out
15/19 – Won last time out
15/19 – French (8) or Irish (7) bred
14/19 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
13/19 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
13/19 – Aged 6 or younger
11/19 – Went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase, Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
12/19 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/19 – Aged 6 years-old
10/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
8/19 – Raced at Newbury last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by David Pipe
2/19 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/19 – French trained
1/19 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
Bravemansgame (6/5) won the race in 2021
1.55 – Ladbrokes Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV
18/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/20 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
17/20 – Placed favourites
15/20 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015), Buveur D’Air (2018), Epatante (2019) winners)
12/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Winning favourites
11/20 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
11/20 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
9/20 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
8/20 – French bred
8/20 – Irish trained
8/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (6 of the last 10)
4/20 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Epatante won the race in 2019 and 2021
2.30 – Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV
18/20 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
18/20 – French (13) or Irish bred (5)
17/20 – Had won a Grade One chase before
16/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/20 – Placed favourites
16/20 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
16/20 – Aged 8 or younger
15/20 – Officially rated 168 or higher
15/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
11/20 – Winning favourites
11/20 – Won last time out
10/20 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
10/20 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 times in all)
8/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
3/20 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 4 in the last 36 runnings)
Paul Nicholls, the Tizzard yard and Nicky Henderson have trained 15 of the last 16 winners between them (10 Nicholls, 2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
Trainer Willie Mullins has only won the race twice (2021 Tornado Flyer and 2001 Florida Pearl)
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 6/1
3.05 – Ladbrokes Get Your £1 Free Bet Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-140) 2m 4 1/2f ITV
18/18 – Aged 7 or younger
17/18 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
15/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/18 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
9/18 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
9/18 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
8/18 – Carried 11-5 or more
8/18 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/18 – Won by a French bred horse
5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Jacamar (11/1) won the race in 2021
3.40 – Ladbrokes Fanzone ‘Your Team Game’ Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m5f RTV
15/15 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
11/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
10/15 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
8/15 – Officially rated 120-129
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – French bred
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (last 2 winners)
Maries Rock (15/2) won the race in 2021
Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
1.35 – William Hill Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV
13/14 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
12/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
12/14 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had raced at Wetherby before
8/14 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/14 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Unplaced in their last race
4/14 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/14– Winning favourites
Good Boy Bobby (4/1) won the race in 2021s
Top Ville Ben won the race in 2019
