Breeders Cup 2022

Breeders Cup 2022

The Breeders Cup 2022 will be held Friday 4th and Saturday 5th November at Keeneland, Keeneland is in Lexington, Kentucky. As well as being a racecourse it host race horse sales events. Plenty of money exchanges hands at the sales so it's definitely a well respected part of the horse racing world. Keeneland has three tracks 1/16 dirt oval track and 7f turf oval track, the third track is a training track which is all weather. Its been a racecourse since 1935 and has 46 barns which have 1600 stalls and a separate barn which can hold 400 horses. Shows you the size of the operation, its one of the centre pieces of American racing.

The main race is the $6 million Classic, the star in this field Flightline who is unbeaten but there could be a star who is bigger in the field who knows. Flightline is currently a 4/9 shot for the race, we will be swerving Flightline as the trends don't like it. One reason is that majority of winners had run in at least one Triple Crown event previously, Flightline hasn't. This race is dominated by America and have won the last 10 renewals with Bob Baffert winning 4 of those. Flightlines trainer Sadler has a pretty decent record 1 win and 2 places from 6 runners. 

Joel Rosario has the best record of the jockeys in the Breeders Cup Classic 2 wins and 4 places from 9 runners.

The European horses tend to stay away from the Classic but they will be sure to have a strong team. Charlie Appleby does well at the Breeders and will be running Nations Pride in the Breeders Cup Turf (race before the classic). Adian O'Brien has had 13 Breeders Cup winners and success at Keeneland, he puts his success at Keeneland down to the climate and says it suits the European horses due to being similar to the climate in Europe, a simple but good piece of insight. Order of Australia is going back to the states for the mile, O'Brien says he's happy with his progress. Aidan has Mediate in the Juvenile fillies turf, running a mile for the first time but settles very well, may run in cheekpieces to help when she gets to front, she finished 2nd in the Cheverly park but takes it easy when she gets near the front. Tuesday runs in the fillies & mares turf over 1m 1f, Aidan didn't really say much to catch the eye about this one, kind of got the feeling he thinks she's still being progressing as was only just three when won the Oaks. Broome second in the Breeders Cup turf last year runs again, won at Royal Ascot, he has Stone Age in the same race. Broome will be ridden forward. O'Brien has said that his horses will be extra sharp when coming out of the stalls to enable them to get a good position before the bend is on them which is sooner than most courses in Europe, after the 1st furlong they'll be cornering. 

We'll never forget the time Rock of Gibraltar had a wide draw at the Breeders Cup and just got beat going for its 8th Group One in a row. The horse should never have lost, a brilliant horse. One of our favourites. 

Watch the race here - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KDuUKwLGNLs

The question is can Flightline win the big race?!

Trends and matching profile horses at link below:

https://smartbettingstats.com/horse-racing-tips-sub/breeders-cup-2022-sat-5th-nov

9.40PM GMT: BREEDERS’ CUP CLASSIC (1M2F, DIRT)

KEY TRENDS (38 RENEWALS SO FAR)

• All of the last 21 Classic winners had 3-8 runs that season
• 37/38 ran 1-2-3 LTO (23 x 1st; 9 x 2nd; 5 x 3rd)
• 34/38 won a G1 that season
• 38/38 aged 3-5 (6yo+ 0/33) – 3yo 12 wins; 4yo 15 wins; 5yo 10 wins
• 22 of last 33 posted stamina (6f+) workout since last run
• 10/11 40+ day layoffs posted Bullet AND/OR Stamina works since last run
• 10/13 3yo winners ran in at least one Triple Crown race (1 exception was a Euro)
• 22 of the last 26 posted 100+ Beyer last time but below previous best ('19 winner, 106, new top; '20 winner, 105, equalled top)
• Where no distance form, check breeding for stamina credentials
• Bob Baffert 4, Steve Asmussen 2, Bill Mott 2

Ted (Senior Analyst) - smartbettingstats